CompaRNA - on-line benchmarks of RNA structure prediction methods

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Metric	HotKnots		Afold
MCC	0.586	>	0.564
Average MCC ± 95% Confidence Intervals	0.628 ± 0.150	>	0.572 ± 0.153
Sensitivity	0.630	>	0.604
Positive Predictive Value	0.551	>	0.533
Total TP	345	>	331
Total TN	73146	<	73151
Total FP	321	<	350
Total FP CONTRA	115	>	106
Total FP INCONS	166	<	184
Total FP COMP	40	<	60
Total FN	203	<	217
P-value	5.10776592382e-08

Comparison of performance of HotKnots and Afold. Positive Predictive Value (PPV) is plotted against sensitivity. Each dot represents a single test of each method. See tables below for raw data (individual counts for HotKnots and Afold).
Average Matthews Correlation Coefficients (MCC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were plotted for different RNA families, for which at least 3 members were present in the benchmarking dataset. 'n' denotes the number of MCCs used to calculate the average and CI. See tables below for raw data (individual counts for HotKnots and Afold).
Comparison of average Matthews Correlation Coefficients (MCCs) for HotKnots and Afold. The whiskers correspond to 95% confidence intervals (CIs). 'n' denotes the number of MCCs used to calculate average MCCs and CIs. See tables below for raw data (individual counts for HotKnots and Afold).

Total Scores
MCC	0.586
Average MCC ± 95% Confidence Intervals	0.628 ± 0.150
Sensitivity	0.630
Positive Predictive Value	0.551
Nr of predictions	21

RNA Chain	Rfam family	MCC	SENS	PPV	TP	TN	FP	FP CONTRA	FP INCONS	FP COMP	FN
2KFC_A	-	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0	229	7	1	6	0	8
2LC8_A	GP_knot1 links to Rfam database...	0.64	0.61	0.69	11	512	5	0	5	0	7
2RP0_A	-	0.84	0.71	1.00	5	111	0	0	0	0	2
2ZZN_D	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.93	0.95	0.91	21	961	3	2	0	1	1
3A2K_C	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.47	0.50	0.46	11	1084	13	3	10	0	11
3A3A_A	tRNA-Sec links to Rfam database...	0.97	0.93	1.00	28	1472	0	0	0	0	2
3ADB_C	-	0.86	0.85	0.88	28	1787	5	0	4	1	5
3GCA_A	-	0.84	0.71	1.00	5	153	0	0	0	0	2
3IVN_B	Purine links to Rfam database...	0.91	0.83	1.00	19	884	0	0	0	0	4
3IWN_A	c-di-GMP-I links to Rfam database...	0.69	0.68	0.70	19	1445	9	1	7	1	9
3IYQ_A	tmRNA links to Rfam database...	0.24	0.33	0.17	17	22341	96	47	35	14	34
3IZ4_A	tmRNA links to Rfam database...	0.56	0.60	0.52	57	25426	57	26	27	4	38
3JYV_7	tRNA links to Rfam database...	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	1089	22	4	18	0	20
3LA5_A	Purine links to Rfam database...	0.91	0.84	1.00	21	933	0	0	0	0	4
3NKB_B	-	0.69	0.74	0.67	14	714	7	0	7	0	5
3NPB_A	SAM links to Rfam database...	0.85	0.78	0.94	29	2247	6	0	2	4	8
3O58_3	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.26	0.36	0.19	8	4722	35	16	18	1	14
3RKF_A	Purine links to Rfam database...	0.91	0.83	1.00	20	846	0	0	0	0	4
3U4M_B	-	0.49	0.55	0.46	12	1250	14	3	11	0	10
4A1C_2	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.19	0.25	0.15	5	4483	42	12	16	14	15
4ENB_A	crcB links to Rfam database...	1.00	1.00	1.00	15	457	0	0	0	0	0

Total Scores
MCC	0.564
Average MCC ± 95% Confidence Intervals	0.572 ± 0.153
Sensitivity	0.604
Positive Predictive Value	0.533
Nr of predictions	21

RNA Chain	Rfam family	MCC	SENS	PPV	TP	TN	FP	FP CONTRA	FP INCONS	FP COMP	FN
2KFC_A	-	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0	228	8	1	7	0	8
2LC8_A	GP_knot1 links to Rfam database...	0.64	0.61	0.69	11	512	6	0	5	1	7
2RP0_A	-	0.76	0.71	0.83	5	110	1	0	1	0	2
2ZZN_D	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.91	0.91	0.91	20	962	3	2	0	1	2
3A2K_C	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.46	0.50	0.44	11	1083	14	3	11	0	11
3A3A_A	tRNA-Sec links to Rfam database...	0.93	0.87	1.00	26	1474	0	0	0	0	4
3ADB_C	-	0.85	0.85	0.85	28	1786	6	0	5	1	5
3GCA_A	-	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0	151	9	1	6	2	7
3IVN_B	Purine links to Rfam database...	0.91	0.83	1.00	19	884	0	0	0	0	4
3IWN_A	c-di-GMP-I links to Rfam database...	0.67	0.68	0.68	19	1444	9	1	8	0	9
3IYQ_A	tmRNA links to Rfam database...	0.23	0.33	0.17	17	22339	97	47	37	13	34
3IZ4_A	tmRNA links to Rfam database...	0.52	0.57	0.48	54	25423	63	27	32	4	41
3JYV_7	tRNA links to Rfam database...	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	1088	23	4	19	0	20
3LA5_A	Purine links to Rfam database...	0.91	0.84	1.00	21	933	0	0	0	0	4
3NKB_B	-	0.69	0.74	0.67	14	714	7	0	7	0	5
3NPB_A	SAM links to Rfam database...	0.82	0.73	0.93	27	2249	6	0	2	4	10
3O58_3	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.41	0.50	0.34	11	4732	38	6	15	17	11
3RKF_A	Purine links to Rfam database...	0.91	0.83	1.00	20	846	0	0	0	0	4
3U4M_B	-	0.49	0.55	0.46	12	1250	14	3	11	0	10
4A1C_2	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.19	0.25	0.15	5	4483	43	11	17	15	15
4ENB_A	crcB links to Rfam database...	0.81	0.73	0.92	11	460	3	0	1	2	4

Matthews Correlation Coeffient, Sensitivity and Positive Predictive Value have been calculated based on the paper by Gardener & Giegerich, 2004.