CompaRNA - on-line benchmarks of RNA structure prediction methods

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Metric	ContextFold		HotKnots
MCC	0.619	>	0.512
Average MCC ± 95% Confidence Intervals	0.583 ± 0.153	>	0.534 ± 0.133
Sensitivity	0.594	>	0.560
Positive Predictive Value	0.655	>	0.479
Total TP	243	>	229
Total TN	33014	>	32907
Total FP	178	<	298
Total FP CONTRA	50	<	80
Total FP INCONS	78	<	169
Total FP COMP	50	>	49
Total FN	166	<	180
P-value	5.06544643719e-08

Comparison of performance of ContextFold and HotKnots. Positive Predictive Value (PPV) is plotted against sensitivity. Each dot represents a single test of each method. See tables below for raw data (individual counts for ContextFold and HotKnots).
Average Matthews Correlation Coefficients (MCC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were plotted for different RNA families, for which at least 3 members were present in the benchmarking dataset. 'n' denotes the number of MCCs used to calculate the average and CI. See tables below for raw data (individual counts for ContextFold and HotKnots).
Comparison of average Matthews Correlation Coefficients (MCCs) for ContextFold and HotKnots. The whiskers correspond to 95% confidence intervals (CIs). 'n' denotes the number of MCCs used to calculate average MCCs and CIs. See tables below for raw data (individual counts for ContextFold and HotKnots).

Total Scores
MCC	0.619
Average MCC ± 95% Confidence Intervals	0.583 ± 0.153
Sensitivity	0.594
Positive Predictive Value	0.655
Nr of predictions	20

RNA Chain	Rfam family	MCC	SENS	PPV	TP	TN	FP	FP CONTRA	FP INCONS	FP COMP	FN
2LC8_A	GP_knot1 links to Rfam database...	0.58	0.56	0.63	10	512	6	0	6	0	8
2M58_A	-	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	530	14	3	11	0	12
3J0L_a	-	0.80	0.73	0.89	8	402	2	0	1	1	3
3J20_0	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.95	0.95	0.95	20	1198	2	1	0	1	1
3J3D_C	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.79	0.79	0.79	15	949	4	3	1	0	4
3J3E_8	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	2722	29	12	8	9	15
3J3F_8	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.36	0.42	0.31	8	4735	32	9	9	14	11
3U4M_B	-	0.98	0.95	1.00	21	1255	0	0	0	0	1
3W1K_J	tRNA-Sec links to Rfam database...	0.90	0.87	0.93	27	1649	2	1	1	0	4
3W3S_B	tRNA-Sec links to Rfam database...	0.87	0.85	0.90	28	1958	4	0	3	1	5
3ZEX_C	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.44	0.41	0.48	12	5349	23	4	9	10	17
4A1C_2	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.26	0.25	0.28	5	4498	26	3	10	13	15
4AOB_A	SAM links to Rfam database...	0.62	0.59	0.68	17	1412	9	2	6	1	12
4ATO_G	-	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	218	2	1	1	0	7
4ENB_A	crcB links to Rfam database...	0.77	0.60	1.00	9	463	0	0	0	0	6
4ENC_A	crcB links to Rfam database...	0.73	0.60	0.90	9	486	1	1	0	0	6
4FRG_B	AdoCbl-variant links to Rfam database...	0.77	0.71	0.85	17	1182	3	2	1	0	7
4FRN_A	AdoCbl-variant links to Rfam database...	0.42	0.39	0.46	11	1824	13	6	7	0	17
4JF2_A	preQ1-II links to Rfam database...	0.57	0.50	0.67	12	1064	6	2	4	0	12
4JRC_A	-	0.91	0.82	1.00	14	608	0	0	0	0	3

Total Scores
MCC	0.512
Average MCC ± 95% Confidence Intervals	0.534 ± 0.133
Sensitivity	0.560
Positive Predictive Value	0.479
Nr of predictions	20

RNA Chain	Rfam family	MCC	SENS	PPV	TP	TN	FP	FP CONTRA	FP INCONS	FP COMP	FN
2LC8_A	GP_knot1 links to Rfam database...	0.64	0.61	0.69	11	512	5	0	5	0	7
2M58_A	-	0.40	0.42	0.42	5	532	7	1	6	0	7
3J0L_a	-	0.55	0.64	0.50	7	397	8	5	2	1	4
3J20_0	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.54	0.57	0.52	12	1196	12	3	8	1	9
3J3D_C	tRNA links to Rfam database...	0.33	0.37	0.32	7	946	15	3	12	0	12
3J3E_8	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.15	0.20	0.12	3	2717	33	7	15	11	12
3J3F_8	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.33	0.42	0.26	8	4730	43	11	12	20	11
3U4M_B	-	0.49	0.55	0.46	12	1250	14	3	11	0	10
3W1K_J	tRNA-Sec links to Rfam database...	0.97	0.97	0.97	30	1647	1	1	0	0	1
3W3S_B	tRNA-Sec links to Rfam database...	0.60	0.61	0.61	20	1956	14	4	9	1	13
3ZEX_C	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	5328	46	11	35	0	29
4A1C_2	5_8S_rRNA links to Rfam database...	0.19	0.25	0.15	5	4483	42	12	16	14	15
4AOB_A	SAM links to Rfam database...	0.60	0.59	0.63	17	1410	11	4	6	1	12
4ATO_G	-	0.72	1.00	0.54	7	207	6	6	0	0	0
4ENB_A	crcB links to Rfam database...	1.00	1.00	1.00	15	457	0	0	0	0	0
4ENC_A	crcB links to Rfam database...	0.97	1.00	0.94	15	480	1	1	0	0	0
4FRG_B	AdoCbl-variant links to Rfam database...	0.36	0.38	0.38	9	1178	15	2	13	0	15
4FRN_A	AdoCbl-variant links to Rfam database...	0.59	0.57	0.62	16	1822	10	2	8	0	12
4JF2_A	preQ1-II links to Rfam database...	0.92	1.00	0.86	24	1054	4	4	0	0	0
4JRC_A	-	0.34	0.35	0.35	6	605	11	0	11	0	11

Matthews Correlation Coeffient, Sensitivity and Positive Predictive Value have been calculated based on the paper by Gardener & Giegerich, 2004.